MLB.com’s article, “Orioles seeking pitching for 2018”

I have several thoughts about mlb.com’s Orioles article: (http://m.mlb.com/news/article/262168388/orioles-seeking-starting-pitching-for-2018/)

Yes, Schoop was an All-Star in 2017, and he deserved it. But note that he was a career .268 hitter in the minors, and even with his outstanding year in 2017, his MLB BA is .264. Based on his own data, Schoop had an above-average year. Note that in the minors, he followed a solid year in 2011 (.290 BA) with a .245 BA. I’m not saying that he’ll hit .245 next year, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see something closer to the .260-.270 range, as he’s averaged that throughout his minors+majors career.

Now onto the pitching. Yes, Cobb and Lynn are upgrades over Miley, Jimenez, Tillman, and potentially Hellickson, who didn’t have a good 2017. However, Gausman and Bundy have outstanding issues that should be discussed. Yes, Gausman throws hard, but is he good at getting outs? Between 2016-2017, he was average (WHIP = 1.26 in 2016), and below average (1.49 in 2017) at allowing hitters to reach base. However, the bright light for Gausman is that he was above-average (1.20 WHIP) after the All-Star break last year, but can he continue that in 2018? In terms of Bundy, last year he threw a career high for innings, 169.2. His biggest question for 2018 is whether he can remain injury-free and be stretched to 200 IP, as he’s averaged only 75 IP over 5 seasons.

 

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