Monthly Archives: April 2015

Is coffee associated with reduced mortality risk?

Data from large epidemiological studies can be used to guide decisions about health. There’s a lot of confusion about coffee consumption in terms of health…What does the epidemiological data say?

Crippa et al. (2014) pooled the results from 21 studies that included almost 1 million subjects (997,464 to be exact). As shown below, 4 cups of coffee per day (~32 oz, about 1 Liter) is associated with ~15% reduced risk of death from all causes.

Screen Shot 2015-04-28 at 7.36.09 PM

More specifically, what about coffee consumption and risk of death from heart disease and cancer? As shown below, ~3 cups of coffee per day is associated with reduced risk of death from heart disease (CVD). Interestingly, CVD risk increases at coffee consumption >3 cups per day:

Screen Shot 2015-04-28 at 7.38.13 PM

What about coffee consumption and cancer risk? As shown below, although the association between coffee and cancer was not statistically significant, it looks like ~3 cups of coffee is associated with reduced cancer risk, whereas risk begins to increase in amounts greater than 3 cups.

Screen Shot 2015-04-28 at 7.40.41 PM

I hope this clears up some of the confusion that exists about coffee consumption and health!

If you’re interested, please have a look at my book!


Crippa A, Discacciati A, Larsson SC, Wolk A, Orsini N. Coffee consumption and mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer: a dose-response meta-analysis. Am J Epidemiol. 2014 Oct 15;180(8):763-75.


Does the Hack-a-DeAndre Jordan approach work?

The Clippers averaged 1.28 points per FG attempt during the regular season. Last night, they averaged 1.16. Had DeAndre made all 11 of his missed FTs, the Clippers would’ve averaged 1.28 points per FG attempt. In other words, the Spurs held the Clippers below their average value by exploiting DeAndre Jordan’s inability to make FT’s at a high percentage.

In game 1, the Clips averaged 1.31 points per FG attempt, with Jordan making 5-12 FTs. Maybe 17 FTs is the magic number for the Spurs to win?

Kyle Schwarber may be the next big-time Cubs prospect to be promoted

Update: Schwarber is still doing well at AA. Through 31 games, he has 7 HR and 20 RBI’s, and is also showing great plate discipline, with 22 BBs. However, he probably shouldn’t be promoted as a catcher-he has only stopped 7 base runners from stealing, while 34 have succeeded!

4/23/2015 Although he only has 4 RBI’s through 10 games in AA, Kyle Schwarber is playing well (.345/.513/1.030), and in my opinion will be promoted to AAA soon, and to MLB sometime this year. Here’s his MILB page: